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The Regulatory Inefficiency Theorem

Published on July 24, 2007 by in Research

When the Justice Dept won its antitrust case against AT&T, the company was split into multiple local operating companies. AT&T focused on the long distance market. Now, those companies have recombined to the point where only three remain: Verizon, AT&T, and Qwest. Essentially, the old AT&T has been reformed in three geographic regions. Why is this? Because of the Regulatory Inefficiency Theorem.

The Regulatory Inefficiency Theorem states that any move by a regulator will thereafter be reversed by the market. The time to reversal will vary inversely with the amount of regulatory oversight implemented whereas the lobbying dollars spent will vary directly.

In the case of telecom — an industry with large returns to scale — there is more regulatory oversight than almost any other industry. And, as our RIT model predicts, we observe a near complete reversal of the regulator’s actions over time combined with immense lobbying efforts. In fact, according the Post, the telecom industry spends more on lobbying “than the tobacco, aerospace and gambling lobbies combined.”

Click through for whole chartAT&T

Source Freepress.net

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4 Comments  comments 

4 Responses

  1. Series7.5

    look at banking – deposit caps, federal oversight at almost every level … HOW many years did it take to get glass-steagal reversed?

  2. jt

    The business of government is to govern – and they don’t even do that very well. Under this logic, the last thing the gov’t should be doing is trying to tell firms how to run their business.

    Laissez Faire (sp?) 4lyfe

  3. The Regulatory Inefficiency Theorem…

    A look at Qwest, the baby bells, and the Regulatory Inefficiency Theorem…….

  4. [...] Mr. Juggles at Long or Short Capital describes a Regulatory Efficiency Theorem. This theorem shows that investments in regulatory action have a multiplier effect on economic activity through stimulating further investments in merger and acquisition specialists, lawyers, and lobbyists. [...]

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